OK, admittedly this is a bit of a weird post, but otherwise I’d have to be actually working.
It’s just a question post really, because admittedly I’ve read very little of Karl Popper’s writings, and whatever little that was, it was a long time ago. I just know what everybody in science “knows”: he’s the “falsification” guy. That is, he reportedly believes that scientific advancement comes mainly via testing hypotheses (ideas, concepts, theories, call ’em whatever you like as far as I’m concerned) and then assessing whether the hypothesis withstood the test successfully or not. If it didn’t, chuck it and come up with another one; if it did, test it some more and scale your confidence in it with the number (and/or stringency) of the tests it’s passed.
Hmm, well OK I guess, but it leaves me with this image in my mind of some authority figure standing over me saying “Your idea has been falsified by group X doing unequivocal test Y. Your idea fails. Now get out of here.”
Not to go all Bayesian Bandwagon on the issue, since I have serious questions about that viewpoint also, but if you’re addressing a complex question and you carefully and repeatedly add a little bit of good evidence at a time, over time, thereby eventually narrowing down the list of likeliest explanations for your observations, then you don’t really need to worry about “falsifying” anything really, do you? I mean, lay a solid foundation, then add floor one, then two, etc…. and there you go. I get the feeling Popper thinks science is a bunch of wanna-be sand castle architects running amok on the beach trying to outdo each other but without much of a clue really, but then WHOA, here comes the sand castle judge and he’s going to wreck all but one. But then maybe it is, at least in some fields. Jimi Hendrix could have written a song about it.
I think my main question really is this: did the obsession with hypothesis testing–and all the problems arising therefrom–come from following Popper’s ideas, or did Popper just describe what the hypothesis testing fanatics were already doing? Chicken and egg question really.
If this post has been unsatisfactory to you, I am willing to tell Rodney Dangerfield jokes or discuss baseball. Thanks for your attention either way.